What Are Experts Saying about Home Prices?

Dated: July 14 2020

Views: 252

What Are Experts Saying about Home Prices?

What Are Experts Saying about Home Prices? | MyKCM

Last week, a very well-respected real estate analytics firm surprised many with their home price projection for the next twelve months. CoreLogic, in their latest Home Price Index said:

“The economic downturn that started in March 2020 is predicted to cause a 6.6% drop in the HPI by May 2021, which would be the first decrease in annual home prices in over 9 years.”

The forecast was surprising as it was strikingly different than any other projection by major analysts. Six of the other eight forecasts call for appreciation, and the two who project depreciation indicate it will be one percent or less.

Here is a graph showing all of the projections:What Are Experts Saying about Home Prices? | MyKCMThere’s a simple formula to determine the future price of any item: calculate the supply of that item in ratio to the demand for that item. In housing right now, demand far exceeds supply. Last week mortgage applications to buy a home were 33% higher than they were at the same time last year. The available inventory of homes for sale is 31% lower than it was last year. Normally, these numbers should call for homes to continue to appreciate.

Bottom Line

Because of the uncertainty with the pandemic, any economic prediction is extremely difficult. However, looking at the limited supply of homes for sale and the tremendous demand for housing, it is difficult to disagree with the majority of analysts who are calling for price appreciation.

The information contained, and the opinions expressed, in this article are not intended to be construed as investment advice. Jeffrey Daniels does not guarantee or warrant the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained herein. Nothing herein should be construed as investment advice. You should always conduct your own research and due diligence and obtain professional advice before making any investment decision. Jeffrey Daniels will not be liable for any loss or damage caused by your reliance on the information or opinions contained herein.

Latest Blog Posts

Why Your Home Inspection Matters [INFOGRAPHIC]

Why Your Home Inspection Matters [INFOGRAPHIC]Some HighlightsBuying a home and wondering if your inspection is necessary? While some buyers may decide to waive their inspection,

Read More

Why Right Now Is a Once-in-a-Lifetime Opportunity for Sellers

Why Right Now Is a Once-in-a-Lifetime Opportunity for SellersIf you’re thinking about selling your house in 2022, you truly have a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity at your fingertips. When

Read More

Are You a Homeowner Thinking About Climate Change?

Are You a Homeowner Thinking About Climate Change?Americans are more aware than ever of the effects climate change and natural disasters can have on their homes. According to a report from

Read More

The Next Generation of Homebuyers Is Here

The Next Generation of Homebuyers Is HereMany members of Generation Z (Gen Z) are aging into adulthood and deciding whether to rent or buy a home. If you find yourself in this group, it

Read More